Tuesday, September 29, 2009

New Poll Finds McDonnell Leading By 14 POINTS!!!

In a poll by Survey USA of likely voters all Republican candidates were all above 50%! This is great news!

When asked the question:
If the election for the Virginia governor were today, would you vote for... (candidates names rotated) Republican Bob McDonnell? Or Democrat Creigh Deeds?
55% of those polled said they would vote for Bob McDonnell.
41% of those polled said they would vote for Creigh Deeds.
4% were undecided.

When examined this showed some really interesting trends. First McDonnell leads in all age groups and surprisingly McDonnell and Deeds percentage difference among 18-34 years olds is the same as between 50-64 year olds. This is really important because it shows that Deeds newest attacks about his views on women have not held much ground on the age group it was really targeting 18-34 year olds. 54% of 18-34 year olds said they would vote for McDonnell.
Also another interesting trend was cross over votes with likely voters with party affiliation. 13% of registered Democrats said they would vote for McDonnell, whereas only 10% of Republicans said they would vote for Deeds. Another important trend to point out is that with registered Independents. McDonnell captured 59% of Independents whereas only 35% of Independents said they would vote for Deeds. Also of those polled who voted for Obama 13% said they would vote for McDonnell whereas of those polled who voted for McCain only 7% would vote for Deeds.
So what these trends show really is that Deeds isn't sticking. Democrats usually win big in the younger population, but not here. Deeds hasn't been able to capture enough cross over votes and certainly not Independent votes to win. And as political history has showed Independents decide the race.

When asked the question:
Virginia will also elect a lieutenant governor. If the election for lieutenant governor were today, would you vote for... (candidates names rotated) Republican Bill Bolling? Or Democrat Jody Wagner?
54% of those polled said they would vote for Bill Bolling.
41% of those polled said they would vote for Jody Wagner.
5% were undecided.

When asked the question:
Virginia will also elect an attorney general. If the election for attorney general were today, would you vote for... (candidates names rotated) Republican Ken Cuccinelli? Or Democrat Steve Shannon?
53% of those polled said they would vote for Ken Cuccinelli.
42% of those polled said they would vote for Steve Shannon.
5% were undecided.

Click here to look at the full results.

This is good news for Republicans which means that Democrats will be on the attack until its voting day...great...

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